UK Horse Racing's Ratings

Introduction

Without doubt the UK Horse Racing Ratings are one of the best ratings available anywhere.

The UK Horse Racing Ratings are ahead of the competition for two reasons.

First, nothing is assumed without our ratings and everything has been rebuilt on first principles. If it wasn't for this we wouldn't be finding high priced winners such as Roryslittlesister at 96.0 or Hija a few days earlier at 400; both over the Easter Bank Holiday in 2015.

These are the sort of results which we can find with the UK Horse Racing ratings because we've started everything from scratch, throwing out what doesn't work and introducing concepts which do.

To find these winners, and a lot more besides, we have discovered that one of the major handicapping tools that most bettors use, the Official Race Class, is flawed. We don't use the official race class figures we simply have our own. We can see at an instant which horse is rising in class and which horse is falling in class with our Differentials.

The second reason why we have excellent ratings is that the mathematical process behind UK Horse Racing's modelling goes deeper and further than any other set of ratings. It is a testament to the modelling of horse racing that we can proudly say that one one line of the mathematics or the code behind the software model has been changed for over fifteen years and it's still as good today as it's ever been.

These pages are the discussion, with examples, on how to read the ratings and what to look out for.

The content of these pages are aimed towards those who wish to do their own analysis of the data. Anyone who wishes to follow systems selections should have a look at the Systems pages.

The Ratings

The ratings come in a number of formats; each with a different view on things.

The first are the Detailed Ratings which are often between 100 and 170 pages in length and contain all the information that one needs for one of the meetings. If, for example, there are six meetings in a day then there would be six of these Detailed Rating documents. Each of these documents are in PDF format.

There is another document, the Summary Ratings which is a collection of the first pages of each of the races' ratings and are collated into one document. This document is good as a quick overview but it is recommended that one looks at the Detailed Ratings for any serious race analysis.

A description of the fields within this summary rating document can be found in the Summary Ratings Description.

Most of the data in the Detailed Ratings are presented in a CSV File which contains one row for each horse running that day which also has over three hundred columns of data. The CSV File is, for a number of people is their first and only stop as they pull the data from there into their own database or spreadsheet models.

Value Betting

UK Horse Racing is a highly regarded resource for those who wish to undertake what is known as Value Betting.

If one reads books written by the likes of Dave Nevison or any other professional gambler about their methods then it soon becomes apparant that the underlying theme is 'Value Betting'.

Simply put, it's getting on a horse to win at a better price than its calculated percentage chance suggests.

It's like rolling a fair six-sided die. If one were offered 9/2 on a six coming up then one would be foolish to take the bet. But, on the other hand, if one were offered 11/2 on a six coming up then, rightly, there should be a queue around the block to take on what should be a 5/1 bet.

Of course, not every value bet will come off. All it means that the eventual payout will more than compensate for the losing bets.

What is important is the golden rule: if one doesn't have a value advantage in a bet then don't take it. No bet should ever be taken without an advantage (what is known as 'the edge').

I have written a little about it here in the section called Malcolm's Method.

Getting The Ratings

If you would like access to the ratings on a daily basis then a subscription will be required.