UK Horse Racing

The UK Horse Racing Bot

Model Portfolio Results

PERFORMANCE AND RESULTS POLICY

In launching this service we faced a challenge with regards to demonstrating the results of using the UK Horse Racing Bot. After all, you might be following any combination of our systems and further to that your results will vary according to your own settings for staking, odds range, the time you are placing your bets, including or excluding Irish racing, whether you are using the Value Filter and any other customisation you have set.

However we wanted to demonstrate real results to you, not theoretical ones. After all, the ultimate test of any service is PROFITABILITY, not excuses, not "bad luck" - PROFITABILITY! So we decided that we would construct a number of model portfolios and trade these in real time. This would enable us to update the results on a monthly basis and make them available for all to see. This is even better than proofed results because the bets have actually been taken and the prices achieved are real. We don't think that we can be any fairer than that.

HISTORICAL RESEARCH & PERFORMANCE TESTING

Our model portfolios bring to you many hundreds of hours of research and analysis to see which systems work best with which types of races and exactly which filters to apply to achieve optimum results.

Because of the difficulty of obtaining reliable historical data for Betfair, our research is based on SP prices with a 15% adjustment of odds for testing the laying systems. Now everybody knows that you can't lay at SP prices - Betfair prices can be way, way above on course SP - which is great for backing, but if you are laying this will affect performance figures dramatically. However we have found through our extensive research that when laying at Betfair odds below 8.50 this 15% adjustment is a reasonable overall compensation to simulate Betfair prices plus commissions.

Here are examples of the testing results from one lay system and one back system.

Notes

1. The example lay system shown is derived from combining two systems - Unlikely Winners and the IMK Lay Filter - and applying them to UK Handicap Flat Turf racing. At the time of this test this had achieved a strike rate of 91.11% for SP odds range 1-7. For the purposes of laying on Betfair we would apply an odds range of 1.00 to 8.50. The Return on Investment (ROI) is an impressive 50.20% and this figure has already had a 15% negative adjustment applied to simulate Betfair lay odds.
2. The example back system shown, David-1, is applied to UK Handicap Chase racing using an odds range of 2.00 to 8.00 and applying our Value Filter. At the then current test update this system had achieved a strike rate of 22.40% and Return on Investment of 26.30%. For backing on Betfair the Bot would use settings of 2.00 to 9.50 and we would anticipate obtaining a significantly higher return than on course SP prices.

We are constantly researching and updating this information using all of the sophisticated filters available in the UK Horse Racing Bot. we believe that this research alone is good reason for you to subscribe to the combined UK Horse Racing & UK Horse Racing Bot service.

MODEL PORTFOLIOS

Please note that a single portfolio contains one or more UK Horse Racing systems. A Portfolio Set contain one or more portfolios, each constructed so as to achieve diversification across different types of race.

You may choose to combine the Lay Portfolio Set together with the Back Portfolio Set. Again, make sure you are comfortable with this and in all cases please make sure that you have an adequate betting bank to accommodate your potential exposure.

You can do your own testing to verify the SP results for any of component systems and you are of course free to add, remove or modify any portfolios to adapt to your own preferences. In particular the default stake is set to 1% of bank and you may wish to change this. For the purposes of our Model Portfolios we focus on mainland UK only because of the substantially higher liquidity on Betfair.

Remember that day to day results can be volatile and successful betting is all about accumulating and compounding gains over the long term. The worst thing you could do is to "jump in" after watching a long winning sequence, or "jump out" after you experience a few losers. You are bound to fail if you do this and you will experience the frustration of watching the results recover and go back into profit.

Subscribers to the Bot who wish to set up the model portfolios can download the portfolio XML file for direct importing into the Bot. These will automatically set up the exact systems and settings we are currently using. We will keep subscribers updated if there are any adjustments.

BETTING BANK

The Bot is able to place bets below the Betfair minimum stake, so you can apply very small stakes while you are getting comfortable with the software. Once you are ready to start your betting activity we suggest that you start off modestly and let your profits compound. Taking into account the cost of the monthly subscription we suggest that a reasonable minimum starting bank would be about £1,000.