Lab Notes

Top Rated Horses to Value at Courses - March 6th, 2009

Introduction

These two reports show the results of backing the top rated horses, to value or more, at a selection of GB courses.

All figures are from 2008 and are to Betfair's SP.

The selections for the first table can be found in the Bot with the system "Top Rated Value To Courses Back". The second table's selections can be made from this by excluding all race types other than all-weather.

The Analysis

Selected GB courses

Wins      Runs      Profit          SR           ROI                 
  8        55        88.1        14.55%       160.18%         ASCOT FLAT 
 13        97        28.9        13.40%        29.79%         BANGOR NH 
  9        65        10.1        13.85%        15.54%         BRIGHTON FLAT 
 13        55        39.2        23.64%        71.27%         CATTERICK FLAT 
  8        69        32.4        11.59%        46.96%         DONCASTER NH 
 11        55        54.0        20.00%        98.18%         FONTWELL NH 
 11        87        16.6        12.64%        19.08%         HUNTINGDON NH 
 50       334        39.3        14.97%        11.77%         KEMPTON AW 
 43       252        91.1        17.06%        36.15%         LINGFIELD AW 
 14       111        42.4        12.61%        38.20%         MARKET RASEN NH 
  6        54        30.6        11.11%        56.67%         MUSSELBURGH FLAT 
 10        53        22.5        18.87%        42.45%         NEWMARKET FLAT (NOT JULY) 
 11        58        38.1        18.97%        65.69%         NOTTINGHAM FLAT 
  9        50        15.3        18.00%        30.60%         SALISBURY FLAT 
  9        66        41.7        13.64%        63.18%         SANDOWN FLAT 
 10        53        15.5        18.87%        29.25%         SEDGEFIELD NH 
 34       214        30.0        15.89%        14.02%         SOUTHWELL AW 
 60       372       103.2        16.13%        27.74%         WOLVERHAMPTON AW 
 10        70        14.6        14.29%        20.86%         YARMOUTH FLAT 
  
  
  
Wins          339
Runs        2,170
Profit        753.60
SR             15.62%
ROI            34.73%
eLLR           46

All current UK All Weather courses

Wins      Runs      Profit          SR           ROI                 
 50       334        39.3        14.97%        11.77%          KEMPTON AW 
 43       252        91.1        17.06%        36.15%          LINGFIELD AW 
 34       214        30.0        15.89%        14.02%          SOUTHWELL AW 
 60       372       103.2        16.13%        27.74%          WOLVERHAMPTON AW 
 
 
 
Wins          187 
Runs        1,172 
Profit        263.60 
SR             15.96% 
ROI            22.49%
eLLR           41

eLLR - this is the estimated longest losing run, as derived from the number of runs and strike rate