UK Horse Racing

 

Lab Notes

Lab Notes
  
The Starting Post
Jockeying For Position
Speed Ratings
Laying The Weak Favourite
Value Betting
Underscore Horses <=5/1
Underscore Value Horses
Underscore Value Top 5
Unders. Top Rated <=5/1
Top 1 Rated Value
Top 2 Rated Value
Top 3 Rated Value
Top 4 Rated Value
Top 5 Rated Value
Top 6 Rated Value
Top-n Rated Blind
Each Underscored Horse
Top Rated Value/Course
Top Underscore Low NH
High Stall Bias Figures
Holmes Bias
Top 2 Value Handicaps
TrForm 120 Handicaps
Low Price AW Underscores
Value Low Weight Deltas
Top 2 Rated GB
Top 3 Rated RAdj
UKHR-1 Underscores
Fred-1 Backs
Underscore Winner Last
Low Underscore Pairs
RAdj Value 2006-09
RAdj Value/Under 06-09
Top Rat Val Under 06-09
Tony-1 2006-2009
Top Underscore 06-09
Top 3 No Underscore
Top AW Underscore
Raw Underscore
RAdj Underscore
Jockey Underscore
Trainer Underscore
TrForm Underscore
Conn Underscore
Frm Underscore
Lst Underscore
Cls Underscore
WinF Underscore
Spd Underscore
HCP Underscore
HCP 50/ Class 100
All Top 5 Rated
Top Three Rated AW
Sole Top Weight Horse
Closely Rated Horses
Top 5 Ranked RAdj
Alarms & Underscores
Alarms Spreadsheets
Top 3 Value Place
Top 5 Value Place
Regression Horses
TrForm 130+, 12 lbs
12 lbs to value
Stephen-1 Backs
Ranked RAdj 2008-09
Raw Flat Stakes
Top 5 GB
Top 2 GB Value
Top 3 GB TC
  
News

80. Selected Top-2 GB Selections. 2008-2011

Introduction

The following is a conglomeration of Goodness Knows How Many reports which are all based on Top-2 rated within Great Britain.

To qualify for inclusion here there has to be a 20% strike rate of the results over the four year period and the 1% stake should at least double a £100 bank into £200 or more.

Explanation

This new format report includes 5% commission cost on anything which wins.

Most of this is rather straightforward but the last two columns may need explaining. The first few columns are the normal results to one point level stakes so we can see if that £1 were to be placed on every selection then at the end of this series of time there would be £583 profit. Which is all very good. But, what about those who do proportional staking?

This is where the last two columns come in. The last column shows what a £100 start bank would look like if 1% of the bank was staked on each race. This means that the first stake would be £1 and then the stakes would change. Now, to stop the ridiculous calculations where, for example, three times the American National Debt were, on paper, placed at a late evening seller at Folkestone, the stakes are capped at £100. The figure before the last column shows the largest percentage drop that the account would have made following this system if we're using 1% proportional staking.

Summary

There are lots of good angles here. For example, look at the Profitable Jockey at Course on the Flat. A £100 bank would have ended up over £1,000 over the four years with a 22.9% strike rate and an ROI of 8.6%.

The Report

Top Two rated reports 2008 to 2011.
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Filters: 20% SR, 200+ l% stake.
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Note: If any course has NO qualifying system then that course name will NOT be on the lists.
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GB-ALL WEATHER 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

AW WIN:           All  Profitable JC            3,121       731      202.86     23.42        6.50       47.97        282.57
AW WIN:           Bias 20%                        720       159      113.54     22.08       15.77       40.60        233.56
AW WIN:           Race Class >=120   <130         881       178      139.73     20.20       15.86       42.00        243.39
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GB-CHASE 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

Chase WIN:        Exeter                          294        85       94.13     28.91       32.02       22.69        221.10
Chase WIN:        Sandown                         190        54      114.58     28.42       60.31       16.08        254.90
Chase WIN:        SOFT                          1,772       432      196.36     24.38       11.08       44.65        321.63
Chase WIN:        Race Class >=120   <130         379        84       99.77     22.16       26.32       31.00        216.67
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GB-FLAT 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

Flat WIN:         All  Profitable JC            4,999     1,147      431.72     22.94        8.64       70.64      1,041.36
Flat WIN:         Beverley                      1,026       227      161.02     22.12       15.69       41.67        290.86
Flat WIN:         Chester                         627       145      129.83     23.13       20.71       35.92        272.18
Flat WIN:         Ripon                           720       177      101.87     24.58       14.15       28.33        220.91
Flat WIN:         Thirsk                          685       149      143.43     21.75       20.94       43.91        273.49
Flat WIN:         10 furlongs                   3,757       811      216.16     21.59        5.75       66.69        202.96
Flat WIN:         Alarm 'm'                       953       260      223.77     27.28       23.48       31.94        664.21
Flat WIN:         Bias 10%                      4,512       946      394.94     20.97        8.75       68.56        790.48
Flat WIN:         Bias 20%                      1,583       359      270.28     22.68       17.07       44.00        702.74
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GB-HURDLE 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

Hurdle WIN:       GD-FM                         2,432       641      283.54     26.36       11.66       57.59        735.08
Hurdle WIN:       GD-SFT                        2,824       663      183.83     23.48        6.51       83.38        215.90
Hurdle WIN:       18 furlongs                     597       168      162.92     28.14       27.29       24.53        400.59
Hurdle WIN:       19 furlongs                     726       165      158.81     22.73       21.88       38.49        298.18
Hurdle WIN:       26 furlongs                     196        45       97.14     22.96       49.56       16.40        239.07
Hurdle WIN:       Alarm 'p'                     1,541       576      165.72     37.38       10.75       30.53        399.74
Hurdle WIN:       Age 8                         1,206       247      238.29     20.48       19.76       49.60        594.14
Hurdle WIN:       U TrForm                      1,926       555      143.38     28.82        7.44       62.93        243.03
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===========================================================================================================================
Individual Top Two rated course reports 2008 to 2011. (Where qualifiers occur)
===========================================================================================================================
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Ascot
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              GD-FM                           327        72      125.60     22.02       38.41       26.50        253.41
WIN:              Alarm 'd'                       141        33       97.88     23.40       69.42       19.42        206.50
WIN:              Age 4                           210        55      106.54     26.19       50.73       33.10        224.07
WIN:              U Raw                           315        95      126.72     30.16       40.23       30.15        292.93
WIN:              U RAdj                          340        87      105.80     25.59       31.12       29.30        231.23
WIN:              Rank RAdj                       781       174      127.90     22.28       16.38       41.73        210.99
WIN:              Rank WinF                       481       120      128.25     24.95       26.66       37.93        277.93
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Beverley
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All                           1,026       227      161.02     22.12       15.69       41.67        290.86
WIN:              All  Profitable JC              148        40       95.29     27.03       64.38       19.44        212.34
WIN:              All  Profitable TC              285        71       97.67     24.91       34.27       34.75        221.27
WIN:              Stakes                          382       109       95.19     28.53       24.92       23.34        201.99
WIN:              GD-FM                           611       138      136.10     22.59       22.27       32.18        260.39
WIN:              Race Class >=100                689       171      141.97     24.82       20.61       26.96        283.61
WIN:              Race Class >=100   <110         561       136      101.44     24.24       18.08       30.10        200.37
WIN:              Rank Raw                        643       164       97.40     25.51       15.15       33.70        213.54
WIN:              Rank Trainer                    481       130      102.51     27.03       21.31       20.85        234.17
WIN:              Rank TrForm                     379        89       93.09     23.48       24.56       28.03        205.29
WIN:              Rank Lst                        501       124      103.64     24.75       20.69       40.37        210.02
WIN:              Rating Rank:  2                 513       108      110.24     21.05       21.49       30.86        231.39
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Carlisle
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              SOFT                            170        38       89.11     22.35       52.42       25.18        203.04
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Catterick
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Age 4                           173        40      103.94     23.12       60.08       21.79        250.32
WIN:              U Spd                           271        69       86.20     25.46       31.81       21.04        205.10
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Chester
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All                             627       145      129.83     23.13       20.71       35.92        272.18
WIN:              U RAdj                          198        52       87.70     26.26       44.29       26.90        203.51
WIN:              Rank Spd                        323        80       84.76     24.77       26.24       29.91        202.29
WIN:              Rating Rank:  2                 315        69      145.83     21.90       46.30       24.01        345.82
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Curragh
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Stakes                          625       150      140.15     24.00       22.42       45.26        248.46
WIN:              Age 2                           281        62      117.40     22.06       41.78       28.86        221.14
WIN:              U Lst                           105        26      113.16     24.76      107.77       19.31        222.09
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Dundalk 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              U TrForm                        156        46       79.39     29.49       50.89       14.60        204.32
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Epsom
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Rank HCP                        325        94      120.30     28.92       37.02       19.14        283.02
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Exeter
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All                             721       189      174.39     26.21       24.19       32.57        378.28
WIN:              All  Profitable JC              163        47      116.87     28.83       71.70       16.55        271.41
WIN:              All  Profitable TC              200        62      105.73     31.00       52.86       19.11        251.53
WIN:              All  Profitable TJC             120        34       79.87     28.33       66.56       26.14        200.40
WIN:              Chase                           294        85       94.13     28.91       32.02       22.69        221.10
WIN:              Novice                          331       104      101.27     31.42       30.60       22.32        221.68
WIN:              Age 7                           149        46      105.41     30.87       70.75       18.65        240.98
WIN:              Race Class < 100                367        89      197.76     24.25       53.89       20.47        507.69
WIN:              Race Class >= 80   < 90         130        31      112.48     23.85       86.52       13.46        253.76
WIN:              Rank Raw                        481       144      148.53     29.94       30.88       29.99        340.63
WIN:              Rank RAdj                       496       138      154.99     27.82       31.25       29.07        333.29
WIN:              Rank Trainer                    388       130       83.74     33.51       21.58       15.62        203.86
WIN:              Rank Cls                        290        98      123.34     33.79       42.53       18.27        287.61
WIN:              Rating Rank:  2                 351        78      125.96     22.22       35.89       30.34        271.02
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Fontwell
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Handicaps                       609       133       99.00     21.84       16.26       33.54        214.42
WIN:              18 furlongs                     423       120       89.71     28.37       21.21       23.84        212.38
WIN:              Race Class < 100                692       165      102.15     23.84       14.76       34.76        219.25
WIN:              U RAdj                          269        83       85.30     30.86       31.71       20.57        211.70
WIN:              Rank Jockey                     529       178      108.11     33.65       20.44       25.85        258.85
WIN:              Rank WinF                       431       125      106.68     29.00       24.75       33.03        249.56
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Galway
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All                             597       132      136.57     22.11       22.88       62.71        285.22
WIN:              Chase                           100        25       92.55     25.00       92.55       13.13        224.01
WIN:              Race Class < 100                326        72      125.47     22.09       38.49       41.28        276.03
WIN:              Rank RAdj                       410        96       89.63     23.41       21.86       46.32        204.67
WIN:              Rating Rank:  2                 305        68      140.81     22.30       46.17       48.67        323.68
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Kempton
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Bias 20%                        384        91      122.38     23.70       31.87       24.53        285.61
WIN:              Age 7                           357        78      102.70     21.85       28.77       27.47        231.69
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Leicester
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All  Profitable JC              300        90      146.34     30.00       48.78       17.02        351.15
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Lingfield 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All  Profitable JC              691       172      114.87     24.89       16.62       33.98        248.17
WIN:              All  Profitable TC              914       245      148.40     26.81       16.24       44.86        318.32
WIN:              7 furlongs                      975       240      182.49     24.62       18.72       41.40        438.16
WIN:              Alarm 'd'                       422        87      107.48     20.62       25.47       30.19        239.81
WIN:              Age 5                           659       137      161.97     20.79       24.58       49.59        297.29
WIN:              U Frm                           974       254      155.60     26.08       15.98       30.46        334.23
WIN:              Rank Raw                      3,091       801      196.76     25.91        6.37       73.78        248.52
WIN:              Rank TrForm                   1,969       507      185.40     25.75        9.42       62.48        297.55
WIN:              Rank Lst                      2,100       541      250.41     25.76       11.92       41.77        612.56
WIN:              Rank Frm                      2,457       627      299.34     25.52       12.18       55.75        803.84
WIN:              Rank HCP                      1,875       471      144.56     25.12        7.71       69.93        221.91
WIN:              Rating Rank:  1               2,363       633      198.17     26.79        8.39       72.22        302.70
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Pontefract
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Rating Rank:  2                 409        88       99.65     21.52       24.36       23.15        229.51
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Punchestown
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All  Profitable TJ              212        54      116.00     25.47       54.72       18.15        261.58
WIN:              U Raw                           309        91      112.77     29.45       36.49       23.45        248.40
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Ripon
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All                             720       177      101.87     24.58       14.15       28.33        220.91
WIN:              Bias 10%                        148        41       80.67     27.70       54.50        9.96        206.94
WIN:              Rank HCP                        312        91      111.44     29.17       35.72       17.16        271.36
WIN:              =  2.00 <  9.00                 502       140       88.99     27.89       17.73       18.34        218.13
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Salisbury
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Age 3                           353        87      115.47     24.65       32.71       26.08        269.66
WIN:              Race Class >=100   <110         399       103      112.79     25.81       28.27       16.74        262.13
WIN:              U RAdj                          232        68      110.54     29.31       47.65       32.86        265.50
WIN:              Rank RAdj                       514       133       90.43     25.88       17.59       39.14        205.44
WIN:              Rank Cls                        305        86       96.71     28.20       31.71       23.14        231.39
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Sandown 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All                           1,269       275      192.24     21.67       15.15       52.11        317.90
WIN:              Chase                           190        54      114.58     28.42       60.31       16.08        254.90
WIN:              SOFT                            149        37      135.59     24.83       91.00       14.64        293.13
WIN:              Alarm '+'                       109        25      100.49     22.94       92.19       19.77        217.50
WIN:              Race Class >=100              1,163       257      127.54     22.10       10.97       46.33        212.21
WIN:              Race Class >=110   <120         498       116       98.05     23.29       19.69       29.64        205.10
WIN:              U Raw                           351        96      127.71     27.35       36.38       27.56        253.63
WIN:              U Lst                           189        48       95.12     25.40       50.33       23.27        219.47
WIN:              Rank Raw                        812       200      150.68     24.63       18.56       40.25        276.01
WIN:              Rank Trainer                    606       168      109.64     27.72       18.09       32.49        218.95
WIN:              Rank Lst                        566       145      219.61     25.62       38.80       24.25        587.94
WIN:              Rank Frm                        662       158      187.57     23.87       28.33       37.34        415.60
WIN:              Rating Rank:  1                 635       161      112.87     25.35       17.78       37.88        222.09
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Southwell 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Alarm 'd'                       406        96       94.06     23.65       23.17       20.85        209.71
WIN:              Age 4                           699       171      197.06     24.46       28.19       27.80        529.30
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Thirsk
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All                             685       149      143.43     21.75       20.94       43.91        273.49
WIN:              GD-FM                           172        48       85.66     27.91       49.81       20.38        206.08
WIN:              Rank TrForm                     212        54      105.43     25.47       49.73       19.12        232.94
WIN:              Rank Lst                        302        78      103.74     25.83       34.35       19.19        235.41
WIN:              Rank Spd                        331        82      180.68     24.77       54.59       20.06        438.72
WIN:              Rating Rank:  2                 342        77      146.31     22.51       42.78       37.70        329.60
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Thurles 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All                             572       136      125.48     23.78       21.94       32.83        267.10
WIN:              All  Profitable TJ              103        37      133.42     35.92      129.53        8.82        331.94
WIN:              Chase                           203        49       95.95     24.14       47.26       15.40        225.39
WIN:              Age 7                           117        32       80.26     27.35       68.60       14.43        210.22
WIN:              Race Class < 100                488       112      110.89     22.95       22.72       36.36        235.53
WIN:              Rank Spd                        271        73       96.97     26.94       35.78       26.90        225.70
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Tipperary
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              U RAdj                          200        55       98.16     27.50       49.08       32.65        202.52
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Towcester
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              U Raw                           206        72       84.28     34.95       40.91       11.90        215.05
WIN:              Rank TrForm                     342        99      117.40     28.95       34.33       17.09        282.19
WIN:              Rank Spd                        413       110       98.33     26.63       23.81       25.95        229.43
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Windsor
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All  Profitable TJC             260        73      105.84     28.08       40.71       23.49        231.39
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Wolverhampton 
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All  Profitable JC            1,053       244      110.46     23.17       10.49       39.27        209.71
WIN:              6 furlongs                      871       189      121.39     21.70       13.94       32.80        239.79
WIN:              Rank Jockey                   2,021       516      176.81     25.53        8.75       73.77        235.91
WIN:              Rating Rank:  1               2,648       673      243.11     25.42        9.18       83.78        311.82
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Worcester
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Race Class >=100                286        87       82.58     30.42       28.87       23.36        206.60
WIN:              Race Class >=100   <110         243        74       79.41     30.45       32.68       19.76        201.90
WIN:              Rank Cls                        300        88       93.30     29.33       31.10       24.48        226.02
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Yarmouth
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              All  Profitable TJC             218        73       78.92     33.49       36.20       12.12        200.00
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York
                                                 Runs      Wins      Profit      SR %       ROI %        LDA%   1.00% Stake

WIN:              Race Class >=100   <110         276        58       96.16     21.01       34.84       20.58        218.21
WIN:              Rating Rank:  1                 365        83      160.61     22.74       44.00       21.91        382.06
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