UK Horse Racing

Systems & Methods

Regression Backing - A Collection of Systems

Introduction

First of all, what do we mean by regression? It's not a horse that's getting poorer as it leaves the peak of its racing prowess but it's a reference to how we generate our ratings. You ought to be aware that we produce the UK Horse Racing ratings purely on advanced mathematical techniques; namely calculus and regressional analysis.

Therefore, a regressional horse is one which stands out in one, or more, of two areas; that of distance and that of going. So, a horse with positive regression on the going can be expected to like the going and the same with the distance. Conversely, a horse with negative regression figures can be expected to dislike the going.

There seem to be no end of various systems involving regression horses, these are the ones which I am aware of and if there are others then please send them in.

Flat Regression 1

For flat racing only (not all-weather).
Back any horse with non-negative regressions where the total of the two regression figures is two or more.

Flat Regression 2

For flat racing only (not all-weather).
Back any horse with non-negative regressions where the total of the two regression figures is three or more, and, where the horse's rating is at least 5% more than the class of the race.

All Weather Regression 1

For all-weather racing only (not flat).
Back any horse with non-negative regressions where the total of the two regression figures is three or more, and, where the horse's rating is at least 5% more than the class of the race.